MSI

Unlike some other major global powers, China has always treated trade and investments as part of its fundamental development strategy. In that context, political and security considerations played a crucial role in guiding the direction and volume of its business transactions. Beijing has, therefore...

Long years of China’s excessive and systematic surpluses on its U.S. trades are part of Washington’s negligence and political miscalculations. But they are also a surprisingly blind spot of Beijing’s economic development strategy. To his credit, President Trump warned about those trade deficit...

Writing last year about the expected economic policies of a newly elected president, I thought that the Federal Reserve (aka the Fed, U.S. central bank) would have to see the direction of the fiscal policy before any new decisions on interest rates. Things, however, turned out considerably more comp...

U.S. trade problems are an old story with deep roots in the international monetary system where America, serving as a banker to the world, allegedly got addicted to “deficits without tears.“ The French pinned that original “sin” to the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference in Bret...

More than one-third of China’s $18.3 trillion economy is generated by its foreign trade. Although that is well below the world average of 59% of GDP, China’s exports and imports still present a policy challenge because their dynamics are mainly determined by external demand and price fluctuation...

The state of the U.S. economy will determine (a) the outcome of next year’s midterm elections on November 3, 2026, and (b) President Trump’s ability to govern effectively during the rest of his mandate. Republicans now have a thin majority of 218 seats (with two vacancies currently being filled)...

Washington is now where it wanted to be at the beginning of President Trump’s first term of office on January 20, 2016. Watching Obama administration’s futile “pivot to Asia” in November 2011 to contain China, and the violent government change in Ukraine in February 2014, followed by the fai...

The newly elected Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe told his first press conference in December 2012 that “China is an indispensable country for the Japanese economy to keep growing. We need to use some wisdom so that political problems will not develop and affect economic issues.” Abe thought...

Thomas “Tip” O’Neill, a Massachusetts Democrat and a speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives from 1977 to 1987, coined a phrase that “all politics is local” to emphasize that voters are primarily interested in issues affecting their areas and communities. And in spite of different par...

While the outgoing U.S. government sounds dire warnings that the borrowing limit will be reached next Tuesday (January 21, 2025), and that the country’s financial system could experience major problems, America’s President-elect Donald Trump is reaching out to Chinese and Russian leaders to stop...